Risk Assessment Series - Volume 1 Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste
The following risk assessment for the Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste uses the Framework of Analysis for Mass Atrocity Crimes (2014) developed by the United Nations Special Advisers on the Prevention of Genocide and on the Responsibility to Protect .
The Framework of Analysis is comprised of 14 Risk Factors of atrocity crimes. Each Risk Factor has an accompanying set of more specific Indicators. The Framework is intended to be used "to guide the collection and assessment of information" regarding the potential for atrocity crimes.The Risk Factors are separated into two different groups: the Common Risk Factors may apply to the potential risk for any atrocity crime, while the Specific Risk Factors are further broken down into the risks associated with genocide, crimes against humanity, and war crimes (risks of ethnic cleansing are integrated into those of the other atrocity crimes). The more Risk Factors and Indicators that are present, the greater the risk that atrocity crimes may be committed. However, not all Risk Factors must be present to represent a significant risk. The Risk Factors and Indicators are not ranked by importance and should be considered in a broader context, taking account for a society's politics, history, and culture.
This report on the risk assessment for “Atrocity Crimes Risk Assessment Timor Leste” was prepared by Mr. Nicholas Casey whilst undertaking a voluntary internship at the Asia Pacific Centre for the Responsibility to Protect based at the School of Political Science and International Studies at the University of Queensland. His internship was supported by the Centre’s staff and is produced as part of the activities of the Asia Pacific Centre for the Responsibility to Protect .