The Centre's Risk Assessments are in depth reports that use the Framework of Analysis for Atrocity Crimes, a tool developed by the UN Special Advisors on the Prevention of Genocide and R2P (see under Core R2P Documents for full details). The Framework of Analysis is comprised of 14 Risk Factors of atrocity crimes which are each subsquently comprised of an accompanying set of Indicators. Risk Factors are divided into two different groups. Common Risk Factors can apply to the potential risk of any atrocity crime, while Specific Risk Factors are each associated with genocide, war crimes and crimes against humanity (risks of ethnic cleansing are integrated into those of the other atrocity crimes).
The more Risk Factors and their associated Indicators are present, the greater the risk of atrocity crimes being committed. However, not all Risk Factors need to be present to represent a significant risk. Furthermore, Risk Factors and Indicators are not ranked by importance and should be considered in a broader context, taking into account a country's social, political, historical and cultural idiosyncrasies.
More general information about countries in the Asia Pacific can be found on the R2P in the Asia Pacific page. This includes other publications and work the Centre conducts in the region, as well as assessments of each country's overall adherence to the R2P norm.
July 2023: Risk Assessment Series: New Caledonia
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April 2023: Risk Assessment Series: Bangladesh
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March 2023: Risk Assessment Series: Myanmar
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March 2023: Risk Assessment Series: Papua New Guinea
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January 2023: Risk Assessment Series: Sri Lanka
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November 2022: Risk Assessment Series Volume 22: Fiji
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May 2022: Risk Assessment Series Volume 21: Cambodia
Download the PDF (PDF, 1.0MB).
April 2022: Risk Assessment Series Volume 20: The Philippines
Download the PDF (PDF, 1.9MB).
March 2022: Risk Assessment Series Volume 19: Myanmar
Download the PDF (PDF, 1.3MB).
November 2021: Risk Assessment Series Volume 18: Hong Kong
Download the PDF (PDF, 1.6MB).
April 2021: Risk Assessment Series Volume 17: Democratic People's Republic of Korea
Download the PDF (PDF, 1.4MB).
April 2021: Risk Assessment Series Volume 16: Solomon Islands
Download the PDF (PDF, 1.3MB).
March 2021: Risk Assessment Series Volume 15: Lao People's Democratic Republic
Download the PDF (PDF, 4.0MB).
April 2020: Risk Assessment Series Volume 14: Thailand
Download the PDF (1.1 MB).
February 2020: Risk Assessment Series Volume 13: Vanuatu
Download the PDF (13.6 MB).
January 2020: Risk Assessment Series Volume 11: Papua New Guinea
Download the PDF (11.5 MB).
November 2019: Risk Assessment Series Volume 10: Fiji
Download the PDF (1.4 MB).
November 2019: Risk Assessment Series Volume 9: Myanmar
Download the PDF (1.7 MB).
December 2018: Risk Assessment Series Volume 8: Indonesia
Download the PDF (19.9 MB).
September 2018: Risk Assessment Series Volume 7: The Philippines
Download the PDF (9.4 MB).
September 2018: Risk Assessment Series Volume 6: Sri Lanka
Download the PDF (1.8 MB).
July 2018: Risk Assessment Series Volume 5: Cambodia
Download the PDF (14.8 MB).
December 2017: Risk Assessment Series Volume 4: Myanmar
Download the PDF (1.4 MB).
June 2017: Risk Assessment Series Volume 3: Lao People's Democratic Republic
Download the PDF (2.5 MB).
December 2016: Risk Assessment Series Volume 2: Democratic People's Republic of Korea
Download the PDF (2.2 MB).
November 2016: Risk Assessment Series Volume 1: Timor-Leste
Download the PDF (2.5 MB).